1.
6th International Conference on Advances in Biomedical Engineering (ICABME)
; : 151-154, 2021.
Article
in English
| Web of Science | ID: covidwho-1822021
ABSTRACT
In this paper, a SIRD model is adapted to study the vaccine's impact on the spread of coronavirus (COVID19) spread in Lebanon. To describe the epidemic development across the country, a Kalman filter is integrated with the SIRD model in order to estimate the time-varying reproduction number R-t - is the most important indicator that predicts the severity of an epidemic outbreak. R-t denotes the number of healthy persons to whom an infected person can spread the disease. The results show a reduction in the spread of the pandemic after employing the vaccine. All the data and relevant codebase are available at https://www.moph.gov.lb